- TPM: “Last night, after weeks of voting, the Wyoming caucuses drew to a close. Mitt Romney won them with 39% of the vote to Rick Santorum's 33%. Ron Paul won 20% and Newt Gingrich 8%. In terms of delegate allocation, CNN estimates that Romney will likely take 10, Santorum 9, Paul 6 and Gingrich 1.”
See Wyoming Capital Journal for the details the next steps of delegate selection.
Over 10% of Wyomans are Mormon. Only Idaho and Utah have higher percentages. Mormons have historically favored Mitt Romney who is a Mormon elder. (See map after the jump.)
- Republican's in the State of Washington will hold their caucus this coming Shabbat. The oddmakers give Romney a slight advantage over Santorum.
- Next week is "Super Tuesday" with Primaries or Caucuses in 10 states.
- Only Romney & Paul are on the ballot in Virginia and Massachusetts, so Romney is favored to win there as well as Vermont since it is so near Massachusetts and Idaho which is 27% Mormon, second only to Utah’s 72%. (See map after the jump.)
- Paul’s best chances are in Alaska and North Dakota‘s caucuses.
- Gingrich will likely pick up his home state of Georgia.
- Santorum is strongest in the Midwest: Ohio, Tennessee, and Oklahoma.
The latest odds according to Intrade follow the jump.
| Other Key Dates
Santorum: Dark green
Perry: Dark blue
Not yet voted: Grey
Romney: NH FL NV ME AZ MI WY
Santorum: IA CO MN MO
Mar 3: WA
Mar 6: Super Tuesday AK GA ID MA ND OH OK TN VT VA
Mar 10: KS VI GU
Mar 13: AL AS HI MS
Mar 17: MO
Mar 18: PR
Mar 20: IL
Mar 24: LA
Apr 3: MD DC WI
Apr 24: CT DE NY PA RI
May 8: IN NC WV
May 15: NE OR
May 22: AR KY
May 29: TX confirmed
Jun 5: CA MT NJ NM SD Jun 26: UT
Probability of winning primaries according to gamblers on intrade as of Thursday, March 1
Leading Religion by County, 2000
- Dots indicate leading religion actually has a majority.
- Red: Baptist
- Blue: Catholic
- Yellow: Christian
- Beige: LDS/Mormon
- Pink: Mennonite/Amish
- Green: Methodist
- Cyan: Reformed
- Grey: Other
Mormon Population Density by State, 1990